TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd45…59b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
634
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT8516.5%14 W · 71 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+163.8%+$16.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150.65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+194.1%+$21.08
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+71.8%+$39.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$72.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 38°F or higher on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$63.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C or below on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 38°F or higher on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51.4
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST6610.6%7 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+87.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+10,376.8%+$1,472.5
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.56
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.75
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.07
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$93.65
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$68.34
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+592.8%+$4,299.86
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90.84
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$153.82
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$340.46
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$642.53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$127.94
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,579.94
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$158.04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$194.07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,766Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+79.7%+$3,000.65
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$501.1
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.57
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$164.61
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,023.91
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$17.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$7.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$13.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$5.23
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$20.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$57.84
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$29.4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.1%+$17.18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.73
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.6%+$11.82
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.8%+$11.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.5%+$26.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.68
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.9%+$7.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+276.2%+$59.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$101.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.4%+$5.12
Will Solana dip to $110 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.63
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+458.6%+$107.3
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.03
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.2%+$55.66
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.2%+$325.85
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43.4%+$28.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$184.44
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+36.7%+$11.02
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.17
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,114.41
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.22
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.07
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$3.24
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44%+$149.04
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.36
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+99%+$100.01
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$147.46
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.22
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.92
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Will "Goodbye June" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.14
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$671.47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$409.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.2%+$8.14
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$315.17
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.9%+$5.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$84.23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$170.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.06
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59.71
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$540.24
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.8%+$55.06
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.4%+$89.16
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.46
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.13
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.6%+$11.16
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63.64
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.2%+$25.64
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.5%+$5.62
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37.5%+$21.24
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25.4%+$5.35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+27.3%+$6.86
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$107.16
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2512%3 W · 22 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-73.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+228.2%+$25.15
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150.68
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.23
Lighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.66
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.27
Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.73
Lighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.39
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$268.64
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70.51
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$194.78
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.6
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$622.93
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.13
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$31.55
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.5%+$9.21
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$107.39
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+68.1%+$698.37
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68.51
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67.4%+$21.28
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$10.76
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+115%+$16.86
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.63
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.91
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.61
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.21
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50.81
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$57.16
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+32.9%+$393.23
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$206.02
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40.6
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$143.53
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+296.1%+$207.04
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+400%+$110.87
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$94.86
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+128.5%+$381.29
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$30.35
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$81.18
All 23 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)backed Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+86.5%+$29.75
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$236.92
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$111.94
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+32.2%+$12.25
Spread: Oregon (-6.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.63
Colorado vs. Kansas State: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$73.21
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.9%+$86.46
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$91.91
San Diego State vs. New Mexico: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.02
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+111.6%+$13.83
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$61.81
Spread: Air Force (-2.5)backed Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48.47
Spread: Utah (-10.5)backed Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100.3%+$27.49
Utah vs. Kansas: O/U 60.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$47.85
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$92.81
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.11
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$76.9
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$89.31
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+46.9%+$24.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+97.6%+$19.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$769.12
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$53.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.61
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.12
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$86.44
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+54.7%+$10.91
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+116.5%+$29.07
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.3%+$24.08
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$55.13
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$119.24
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52.46
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$97.53
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.06
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.07
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.78
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+166.2%+$33.45
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.67
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.43
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,034.39
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$110.2
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+222.5%+$27.49
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+73.8%+$188.03
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$29.16
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$62.6
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$82.76
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.33
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+59.6%+$13.72
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$103.7
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+70.2%+$9.89
All 20 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.4
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.36
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.1%+$17.26
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+54.9%+$52.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$780.4
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$483.07
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+191.4%+$186.98
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160.13
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+175.7%+$420.58
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.97
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.22
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.65
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.99
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.8%+$7.89
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$82.48
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40.81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.6
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.38
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$427.28
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+82.7%+$284.76
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$163.81
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$44.14
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33.93
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.45
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.28
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$42.32
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$113.09
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.86
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$126.82
Will Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.5%+$16.8
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$89.76
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+61.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.12
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,330.1%+$174.06
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.99
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.58
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+126.8%+$83.58
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+81.7%+$75.16
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.5%+$14.65
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.02
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$112.15
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,037.31
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.91
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$41.34
Will Baluta win by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.92
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.6%+$15.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.38
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+182.1%+$21
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216.84
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.92
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.91
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.81
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.77
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34.82
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$82.39
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+376.2%+$188.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.35per pick42cpaid-87.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.56
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$91.93
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.43
Browns vs. Bears: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71.3
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+73.9%+$36.87
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.93
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$166.37
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$308.97
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.9%+$15.86
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$24.13
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+253.1%+$383.87
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$209.2
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+299.2%+$69.84
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.26
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.26
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$38.56
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$86.61
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.15
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49%+$26.61
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.54
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+114.4%+$1,267.01
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$245.82
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+145.7%+$570.59
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.13
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+341.9%+$126.6
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.54
Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja (BO5)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$94.46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.85
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.12
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.1%+$25.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29.67
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.3%+$4.96
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$394.01
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$353.87
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99.95
Stars vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$681.09
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.36
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+45.1%+$152.4
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$71.79
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.67
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$192.1
Rangers vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.55
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.1%+$8.83
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+309.6%+$109.51
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.32
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.86
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$339.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.68
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$27.17
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,096.58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$420.24
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+299.1%+$121.21
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+181.5%+$108.46
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143%+$14.83
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $95-$100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.89
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 end of December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+177.8%+$18.07
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.06
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.23
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+82.6%+$111.3
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$84.47
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$80.03
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$276.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.27
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger (BO3)backed Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48.14
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)backed FengDa Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.18
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+324%+$71.07
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3)backed Just Swing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.95
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)backed Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+287.8%+$45.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-11.5)backed Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$71.29
Colorado State Rams vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.79
North Dakota State Bison vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+195.1%+$26.44
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.7%+$67.94
Texas State Bobcats vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+30.2%+$11.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+1,746.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+3,593.1%+$567.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.14
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,295.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.