Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d939d555d8a2495c3d2aaa08892dc35432cf6faf2ba6f27b6dc618970cf084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,521,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 62c | 320,000$199,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,685.51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 38c | 255,463$96,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,763.09 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 236,905$96,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,022.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 36c | 108,733$39,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,051.63 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 65c | 87,040$56,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,259.89 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 37c | 72,136$26,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,314.75 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 67,398$42,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,752.28 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 37c | 61,999$22,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,219.64 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 62c | 43,994$27,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,398.52 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 39,565$24,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,779.78 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 36c | 39,557$14,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,241.75 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 61c | 35,323$21,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,547.2 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 33,590$11,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,606.59 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…c9efbacked Yes | 62c | 32,258$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 5c | 27,600$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 19,926$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 19,159$8,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,357.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 60c | 18,078$10,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,846.73 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 40c | 17,517$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,510.06 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 35c | 17,000$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,049.84 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 15,601$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,536.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.98 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 42c | 14,889$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,692.33 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 38c | 13,374$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,234.58 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Yes | 65c | 12,358$8,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,032.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 36c | 12,125$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,703.18 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 35c | 12,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.86 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 36c | 11,875$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 36c | 11,699$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.92 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 38c | 9,763$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…29cabacked No | 39c | 9,723$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…a4debacked No | 39c | 9,000$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 56c | 8,894$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.83 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 8,710$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.92 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 37c | 8,327$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.32 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 44c | 8,250$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.2 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…fb54backed Yes | 64c | 7,837$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 43c | 7,480$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.36 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 64c | 7,402$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 6,510$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.82 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 62c | 6,217$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.67 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 6,130$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.41 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 36c | 6,045$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 36c | 5,615$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.88 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 64c | 5,464$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 56c | 5,251$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.75 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 5,216$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.11 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 5,211$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.13 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 48c | 5,185$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…7424backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.81 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 46c | 4,987$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 52c | 4,715$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…7453backed No | 36c | 4,651$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 36c | 4,200$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.98 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 50c | 3,987$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 49c | 3,855$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes | 76c | 3,818$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.79 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 62c | 3,600$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 62c | 3,551$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,518$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.37 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 62c | 3,214$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 64c | 3,206$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.21 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 51c | 3,134$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.45 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 65c | 3,091$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 3,031$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.3 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 35c | 3,006$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.87 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 64c | 2,980$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.23 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,922$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 61c | 2,880$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 49c | 2,824$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.54 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed No | 37c | 2,815$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 62c | 2,754$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 65c | 2,692$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 36c | 2,600$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 59c | 2,527$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.49 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 60c | 2,519$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.91 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…ee6dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,441$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 36c | 2,375$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.97 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Yes | 59c | 2,349$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 61c | 2,308$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?No won
- Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.