Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e419eb1c88cf092ce9454d9bb1c9cca3b9126faf84405970a41636581cd74c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 115,964$22,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,906.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 17c | 63,920$10,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,757.6 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 76c | 25,945$19,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,289 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 19c | 23,997$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.45 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 17c | 15,418$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 13,843$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.29 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 13,684$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.6 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 23c | 8,684$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.65 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 17c | 7,852$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 7,671$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.72 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 15c | 5,173$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 5,100$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 19c | 4,985$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.15 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 29c | 4,947$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 26c | 4,668$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Yes | 17c | 4,622$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 4,385$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.15 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 3,987$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.83 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 79c | 3,805$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.41 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 3,638$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.84 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 73c | 2,728$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.86 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Yes | 20c | 2,470$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed Yes | 17c | 2,215$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Yes | 18c | 2,214$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 2,109$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 18c | 1,706$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed Yes | 19c | 1,489$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 68c | 1,445$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.4 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 26c | 1,396$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 16c | 1,364$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 16c | 1,363$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,121$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,111$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Yes | 16c | 999.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 946.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 18c | 932.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked No | 79c | 856.44$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 705.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 24c | 700$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 695.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 27c | 667$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 17c | 650$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 16c | 628.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Yes | 20c | 614.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 16c | 566.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 18c | 555.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 19c | 538$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 528.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed No | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 483$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 23c | 478.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Yes | 14c | 468.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 8c | 415.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 79c | 402.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…b7fbbacked Yes | 29c | 400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b64…d59ebacked Yes | 22c | 373.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 25c | 372.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 16c | 365$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed No | 79c | 362.62$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 19c | 362.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 77c | 327.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 15c | 315.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 20c | 310.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 5c | 305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 33c | 301.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…8b45backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14df…30b2backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 33c | 295.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 72c | 295.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…f2e4backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…8fc8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 23c | 277.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5c67backed Yes | 35c | 276.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 18c | 270.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7143…2c75backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 26c | 263$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 12c | 241.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Yes | 16c | 237.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 29c | 229$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 66c | 219$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 19c | 217.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 17c | 209.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 78c | 209.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…6144backed Yes | 14c | 194.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…813cbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…25f4backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.