TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes21c25,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,749.974841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No79c12,500$9,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8751650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c8,092$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.124,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No80c4,866$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.047448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No78c4,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9510050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No43c2,862$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.1518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Yes70c2,855$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes49c2,538$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.3325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes79c2,165$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.142540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes21c2,101$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.631,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c1,805$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.471,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c1,801$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.921,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No79c1,707$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.539763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c1,584$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.166,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes68c1,523$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.023551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes41c1,283$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.0921965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c1,227$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No79c1,151$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9145822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes64c996$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No79c931.03$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.519246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No46c918.34$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes53c839.76$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes23c757.69$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.332941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes75c746.91$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.832850%14 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes38c735.46$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.467632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9db…a30ebacked Yes66c724.06$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.065100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes22c704.43$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.454643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4fa…1780backed No73c698$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.541450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes29c685.22$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6411446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Yes22c631.82$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.821353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes33c611.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70c1…9aa7backed Yes23c598.1$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+150.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x007a…c3abbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.921533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c516.6$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.71,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed No39c487.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.691926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes62c484.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.132850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.191752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c476$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.0468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c454.84$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8419732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.555543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.555455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda9e…42e0backed Yes75c385.5$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.111154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No79c383.75$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes46c372$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1643241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes25c358$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No78c341$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes22c321.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.747332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No79c317.86$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1120246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…eadabacked Yes26c310.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No16c307.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.511255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5465…51d0backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c299.93$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes35c283.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.333250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No80c280$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No37c277.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.739846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Yes37c266.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+64.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes31c264.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes23c260.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.876838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Yes55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.556100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes21c252.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.382867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No45c237.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.842324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb986…aae0backed Yes79c231.8$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No45c231.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3818251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.272544%11 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes69c225$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes46c217.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.82060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes31c216.36$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.364736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed No79c206.03$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.972755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44d…68acbacked Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1583735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes21c200$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1596643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4416…813cbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c181.09$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Yes22c178.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.913354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes22c173.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.724052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No49c171$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.36325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7143…2c75backed Yes26c169.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…6144backed No25c168.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.881010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-69.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes21c166.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6736036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed No78c164.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.692927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No61c159.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No79c158.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Yes52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.852263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c5…0622backed No80c153.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11723353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No77c146.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.535054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8610850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.144348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked No13c130.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc263…9325backed Yes77c129.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.974050%20 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes58c125.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No56c125.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7125256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes33c120.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5512639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47cc…8267backed Yes21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.