TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf702…7cc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST17544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Richmond Spiders vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
UIC Flames vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.95
UAB Blazers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Iona Gaels vs. Marist Red Foxesbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.56
Denver Pioneers vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.35
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+32.8%+$45.86
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.14
Colorado State Rams vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Wyoming Cowboys vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.14
Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$49.19
Kansas City Roos vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.33
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3941%16 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$17.11
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.22
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.44
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.59
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$35
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.45
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+132.6%+$18.56
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$39.49
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$78.99
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$523.57
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3450%17 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$28.42
Predators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.58
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$37.22
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$21.9
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.45
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.56
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.57
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.93
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$21.9
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$44.21
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.17
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$54.44
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.56
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$54.44
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$28
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+37%+$51.83
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$76.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.