College Football · resolved market
USC vs. TCU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffb4b076374698234b50e8625eaac98c91d1540b83c7e889e99528ca71f03d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCUof USC, TCU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,894,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,926,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,894,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked USC | 58c | 593,269$346,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346,283.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked TCU | 38c | 343,225$130,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,806.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed TCU | 44c | 200,828$89,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,490.4 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed TCU | 31c | 127,433$39,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,087.3 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed USC | 71c | 78,731$56,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,152.86 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TCU | 39c | 69,627$27,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,263.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked USC | 62c | 56,429$35,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,265.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed USC | 57c | 44,961$25,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,513.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed TCU | 41c | 41,266$16,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,272.89 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed USC | 65c | 40,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TCU | 36c | 35,523$12,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,588.56 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked USC | 62c | 24,413$15,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,136.27 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…5c74backed TCU | 25c | 19,692$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,831.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed TCU | 37c | 18,114$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,488.68 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC | 59c | 16,388$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.44 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked USC | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed TCU | 38c | 14,939$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed TCU | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TCU | 40c | 10,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed USC | 54c | 9,228$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed TCU | 36c | 9,167$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.88 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed USC | 64c | 9,000$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed TCU | 42c | 8,604$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.99 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked TCU | 42c | 8,342$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b7b1backed USC | 61c | 8,297$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked TCU | 36c | 7,992$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed TCU | 34c | 6,983$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked USC | 67c | 6,817$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.34 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU | 36c | 6,606$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.37 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed TCU | 36c | 5,400$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed USC | 64c | 5,316$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.5 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed TCU | 49c | 5,022$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU | 39c | 4,892$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.96 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TCU | 41c | 4,846$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.61 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed TCU | 20c | 4,625$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.57 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked TCU | 37c | 4,103$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed TCU | 31c | 4,034$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.09 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed TCU | 35c | 4,021$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.86 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed TCU | 37c | 3,464$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed TCU | 28c | 3,223$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed USC | 55c | 3,127$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked TCU | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked USC | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed TCU | 35c | 2,881$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed USC | 57c | 2,879$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TCU | 33c | 2,719$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked TCU | 38c | 2,646$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed USC | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed TCU | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU | 40c | 2,498$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.28 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC | 62c | 2,369$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.38 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed TCU | 11c | 2,299$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked USC | 68c | 2,254$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.86 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked USC | 64c | 2,084$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.72 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed TCU | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked USC | 67c | 1,900$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed TCU | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked TCU | 15c | 1,659$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.97 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked USC | 3c | 1,600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 8cpaid | +752.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked USC | 67c | 1,539$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC | 66c | 1,538$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.3 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked TCU | 37c | 1,513$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.7 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed TCU | 48c | 1,500$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.04 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked TCU | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed USC | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 8cpaid | +333.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed TCU | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed TCU | 43c | 1,460$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.12 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked USC | 8c | 1,400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +300%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked USC | 3c | 1,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed USC | 63c | 1,394$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.12 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed TCU | 33c | 1,370$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.46 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked USC | 60c | 1,311$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked USC | 71c | 1,302$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed TCU | 33c | 1,298$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked USC | 75c | 1,294$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed TCU | 36c | 1,267$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.67 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…c4f6backed TCU | 42c | 1,266$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed USC | 70c | 1,235$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.93 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed USC | 65c | 1,218$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed TCU | 34c | 1,197$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked USC | 63c | 1,156$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.37 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed USC | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed USC | 66c | 1,109$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC | 64c | 1,100$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.99 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked USC | 72c | 1,098$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked TCU | 37c | 1,085$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed USC | 57c | 1,037$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked USC | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed USC | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked USC | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed USC | 62c | 999.95$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.35 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed USC | 66c | 933.28$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.28 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked USC | 40c | 899$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed USC | 54c | 861.89$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed USC | 64c | 837.48$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed TCU | 6c | 834$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.96 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked TCU | 30c | 797.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed USC | 75c | 779.11$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed USC | 72c | 773.65$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed TCU | 41c | 765$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC vs. TCUthis page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: USC (-4.5)TCU won
- Spread: USC (-5.5)TCU won
- Spread: USC (-6.5)TCU won
- USC vs. TCU: 1H MoneylineTCU won
- USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.