College Football · resolved market
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8811c6ead92e8017c1f66544ea51ef6d86c3d19598814aecb2890ac1d6b201f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 47c | 321,083$152,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,617.11 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Under | 53c | 283,110$150,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,003.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 51c | 197,878$101,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,006.71 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Under | 48c | 142,603$69,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,043.26 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 51c | 109,577$55,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,980.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 53c | 69,672$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 53,408$25,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,223.88 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 39,036$19,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,127.64 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 36,718$17,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,594.83 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 19,898$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750.02 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 52c | 18,872$9,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,813.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 14,424$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.7 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 13,388$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,961.6 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 5,021$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.7 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 49c | 4,932$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.23 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.45 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 49c | 2,809$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…78cfbacked Over | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.8 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 809$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 790.38$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 601.96$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Under | 52c | 572$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 49c | 373.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Over | 49c | 254.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 50c | 185$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 171$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Over | 50c | 120.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…f476backed Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 112.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over | 56c | 107.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…700bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 51c | 101.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 52c | 98.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Under | 52c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Under | 51c | 70.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 54c | 49.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 49c | 39.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Over | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 32.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 30.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: USC (-4.5)TCU won
- Spread: USC (-5.5)TCU won
- Spread: USC (-6.5)TCU won
- USC vs. TCUTCU won
- USC vs. TCU: 1H MoneylineTCU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.