TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29ab…b38d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.32
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.04
Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.46
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.56
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.75
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.68
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.91
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.6
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.37
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.52
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.68
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.03
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.35
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$43.34
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.35
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.27
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.13
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-2.5)backed Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Army Black Knights vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.94
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-11.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Spread: Missouri State Bears (-3.5)backed Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Towson Tigers (-10.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-9.5)backed Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.28
Richmond Spiders vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Tulane Green Wave vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Green Bay Phoenix vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
New Mexico Lobos vs. VCU Ramsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+400%+$75.2
Spread: Air Force Falcons (-1.5)backed Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$26.66
American Eagles vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$21.84
American Eagles vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
SHL: Oerebro HK vs. HV 71backed Oerebro HK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Blue Jackets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Iserlohn Roostersbacked Iserlohn Roosters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.09
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+107.1%+$18.62
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.69
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.89
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Bremerhavenbacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.3
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.87
Utah vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.22
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+244.8%+$29.82
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$4.05
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.76
Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield Wednesday FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$14.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.06
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.92
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.67
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.79
Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.56
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$4.86
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$53.04
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+192.1%+$24.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$20.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.36
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Real Madridbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.62
Olimpia Milano vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9INE (BO3)backed Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.