Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc66253a16c7d06e4c9440fb89ceb726ed63d5f58d4650fe955856bab8350e347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 2,500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 2,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 7c | 608.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.