TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73c5…4997

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.05
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.58
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.38
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.42
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.05
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.19
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.21
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.36
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$31.5
1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$24.84
Clippers vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-6.5)backed Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.8
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$23.5
Pacific Tigers vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: Towson Tigers (-10.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.44
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-12.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$18.13
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$19.24
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-23.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.29
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$20.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$31.95
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.28
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.41
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$13.5
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.51
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+25%+$4.8
Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.52
Watford FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$12.2
Preston North End FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+69.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.08
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.02
FC Utrecht vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Estoril Praia vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.81
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.12
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.91
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+182.4%+$41.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.32
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.38
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+200.5%+$64.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.85
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$4.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gran Canaria vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.41
Olimpia Milano vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+185.7%+$70.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.