College Football · resolved market
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a6c6ba5cef42a6d8e6f26ba3e1aaa25ef4cb0f87fe7eb09463db3703918976
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Iowa, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Iowa | 46c | 4,886$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt | 54c | 2,991$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.86 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…87efbacked Vanderbilt | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vanderbilt | 54c | 742.43$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Vanderbilt | 59c | 679.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt | 55c | 662$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Iowa | 41c | 619.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.47 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Iowa | 41c | 392.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vanderbilt | 54c | 243$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Iowa | 40c | 191$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Iowa | 37c | 186$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Vanderbilt | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Iowa | 37c | 136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Vanderbilt | 60c | 129$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Iowa | 39c | 122$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Vanderbilt | 51c | 108.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Vanderbilt | 60c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Vanderbilt | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Vanderbilt | 60c | 77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Vanderbilt | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Vanderbilt | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Vanderbilt | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Vanderbilt | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Vanderbilt | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Vanderbilt | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Vanderbilt | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Iowa | 42c | 38.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Iowa | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Iowa | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Iowa | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Iowa | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Iowa | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Iowa | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Vanderbilt | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Iowa | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Iowa | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Vanderbilt | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Vanderbilt | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Vanderbilt | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Vanderbilt | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Vanderbilt | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Iowa vs. VanderbiltIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5Over won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5Over won
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.