College Football · resolved market
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbd39ee3c8d3f3c6d3e93e7d9934054297a0ad4f547ea162caaac09de1304c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 15,570$7,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,785 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 5,259$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.06 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,216$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 3,428$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.35 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 3,101$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.47 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 1,864$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.55 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 1,519$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.51 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Over | 48c | 1,490$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,053$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…2665backed Over | 49c | 1,026$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.44 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 900$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 55c | 803.04$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 48c | 423$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 355.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 47c | 293$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 48c | 277$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…c908backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Over | 47c | 169$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 50c | 120.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 49c | 51.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Over | 53c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5this page
- Iowa vs. VanderbiltIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H MoneylineIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5Over won
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.