TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Iowa vs. Vanderbilt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowaof Iowa, Vanderbilt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,536,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,787,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,536,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 532 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Vanderbilt60c170,322$102,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,358.083345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Iowa41c152,281$63,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,150.892759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Iowa71c92,798$66,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,563.885064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Vanderbilt59c59,032$34,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,828.9310848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Iowa39c51,664$20,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,515.1632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Vanderbilt58c51,332$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0002763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Iowa40c50,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Iowa40c50,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.926046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Vanderbilt37c39,149$14,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,480.6413933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Vanderbilt44c31,776$13,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,924.193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Vanderbilt61c30,000$18,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,30014743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa69c24,281$16,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,476.3286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vanderbilt30c24,236$7,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,261.0619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Iowa71c20,563$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,963.2710046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vanderbilt18c17,152$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Iowa41c17,073$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,073.172142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Vanderbilt63c16,334$10,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,25430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Vanderbilt61c16,140$9,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,771.5211849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Vanderbilt13c15,952$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.590%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Iowa41c15,500$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1451266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa56c15,313$8,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,702.1958850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Vanderbilt60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Iowa62c13,612$8,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,188.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vanderbilt59c13,347$7,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,889.9221538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Vanderbilt11c13,301$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.839124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Vanderbilt59c13,102$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.5122750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x166a…e675backed Iowa57c12,750$7,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+93.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vanderbilt26c11,069$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.6940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…4b7cbacked Vanderbilt3c10,303$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Vanderbilt48c10,250$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9101040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Iowa41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.9739954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa36c9,709$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,228.0638546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Iowa40c9,674$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804.422245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Vanderbilt10c9,630$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3424229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vanderbilt23c9,432$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.882536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa39c8,827$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.2638450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Vanderbilt60c8,805$5,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,311.581844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Iowa39c8,601$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.052055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Iowa39c8,433$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,144.132035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Vanderbilt51c7,810$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Vanderbilt61c7,252$4,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.726540%26 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Vanderbilt21c7,008$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt33c6,946$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.1362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt53c6,872$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.2648546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Vanderbilt7c6,513$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7554243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt60c6,151$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.762,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Iowa53c6,067$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.911883.3%15 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+57.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Vanderbilt63c6,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7602564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Vanderbilt61c5,501$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.6121644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1a…8bedbacked Vanderbilt57c5,246$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Vanderbilt37c5,203$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.355345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Iowa40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Vanderbilt36c4,880$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.942548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Vanderbilt23c4,490$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.81520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt2c4,108$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Iowa49c3,885$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.231250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Iowa43c3,453$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Vanderbilt36c3,424$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2384833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Vanderbilt60c3,332$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Iowa52c3,098$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.3910848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Iowa61c3,084$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.7220553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Vanderbilt38c3,042$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Iowa39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Vanderbilt58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Vanderbilt61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8302441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Vanderbilt31c3,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vanderbilt8c2,853$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.836051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Iowa37c2,720$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.511942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt61c2,711$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.530949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Vanderbilt65c2,677$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.0526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Iowa39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.12544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vanderbilt10c2,535$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9652641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Iowa40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Iowa40c2,496$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.751926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Iowa37c2,451$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Iowa41c2,402$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.449048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa35c2,298$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.0752449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x123a…2f4cbacked Vanderbilt14c2,211$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Vanderbilt42c2,089$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.5512746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Iowa70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Vanderbilt1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3e…edc9backed Iowa53c1,981$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Vanderbilt60c1,971$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.4965945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Iowa61c1,930$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0610047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff9…a08fbacked Iowa60c1,814$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…6babbacked Vanderbilt66c1,809$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.49520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507a…35d6backed Vanderbilt60c1,800$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…c4f6backed Vanderbilt56c1,788$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Vanderbilt42c1,702$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.0113845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Iowa36c1,681$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.491225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Iowa63c1,657$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.5423751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Iowa55c1,641$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.2415451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Iowa76c1,626$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Vanderbilt30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Vanderbilt1c1,570$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.99490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Iowa61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.115751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Iowa40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90013417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Iowa5c1,400$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick8cpaid+752.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Vanderbilt55c1,390$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.148749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Iowa5c1,376$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.441338.5%5 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick8cpaid+333.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.