TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56be…57ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 63 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT21143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.78
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.77
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.74
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.63
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.41
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$128.05
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$1,696.27
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$328
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$75.26
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.4
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.22
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.99
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$617.15
Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$417.83
Ron Holland II: Points O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$471.6
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,439.94
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,935.26
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,682.56
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$402.48
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,150
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.95
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.39
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,320.52
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,900
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,453.18
Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-5.5)backed Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.61
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,363.91
Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,120
Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bearsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,566Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,456.32
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,105.16
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Texas Longhorns vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$790
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$194.31
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+101.8%+$1,387.22
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$395.18
St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$94.7
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.77
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Washington State Cougarsbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+164.5%+$328.92
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+136.4%+$271.76
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$803.95
Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+64.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.47
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,749.96
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,785.71
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,999.98
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,350
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,166.67
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,810.34
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$3,000
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.4%+$111.43
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,100
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+76.8%+$383.99
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+488.2%+$4,882.35
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+109.6%+$328.85
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+455.6%+$3,644.44
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+129.1%+$4,246.08
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+213.3%+$1,279.64
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+140.2%+$2,102.44
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.8%+$352.9
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$349.14
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,461.87
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$9,168.84
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$927.05
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$362
Spread: Vikings (-13.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,941.11
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+99.7%+$6,780.03
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+74%+$1,800.3
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+149.4%+$6,520.35
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$618.31
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.8%+$456.25
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+115.7%+$61.56
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$205.2
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,111.86
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$975.19
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,350.1
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.18
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.7
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.68
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$389.99
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,804Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3,095.95
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$7,281.24
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$540
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,150
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+59.9%+$1,256.85
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State: 1H Moneylinebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,109
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$432
Spread: Oregon (-1.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$707.73
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$378.16
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$245.07
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+131.7%+$1,962.55
Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$330.81
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,750
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$32.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+257.1%+$3,599.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$103
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,050
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.