TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,405 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over50c94,967$47,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,524.862147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c80,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,999.791,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c31,974$15,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,385.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under50c29,251$14,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,625.529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c17,144$8,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,57237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under50c15,052$7,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5266860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c12,655$6,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,327.529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c11,500$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Over49c10,763$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,273.752744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c10,605$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,302.3638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c9,261$4,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,723.372,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c8,600$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c8,486$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under50c7,575$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c6,800$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.1938946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under51c6,615$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.3538251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c6,477$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.711,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c6,468$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,23448546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c6,007$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433a…3bd8backed Over51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a95…000bbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c5,834$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.1525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c5,745$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9921143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under50c4,909$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…9fe7backed Under50c4,706$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd15…d9c0backed Under50c4,644$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe752…ff72backed Under50c4,619$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e75…aaa9backed Under50c4,566$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda01…3809backed Over50c4,437$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed Under50c4,401$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1c…fd77backed Over50c4,370$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e92…be88backed Over50c4,352$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…e50fbacked Under50c4,296$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c4,235$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…f477backed Over50c4,227$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c14…cc8fbacked Over50c4,188$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x599a…035cbacked Over50c4,103$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6b…882fbacked Under50c4,048$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8048…7270backed Over50c4,010$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9373…c55cbacked Under50c3,980$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0285…d7dfbacked Under50c3,954$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8c…cbf3backed Over53c3,916$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…8663backed Under50c3,879$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a8…a4b2backed Under50c3,832$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…fc1cbacked Over50c3,756$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd117…60ccbacked Over50c3,723$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4547…9b99backed Over50c3,674$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc416…9066backed Over50c3,669$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2af…b7d5backed Under50c3,666$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89d…fadebacked Over50c3,657$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,638$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.7880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…a1edbacked Under50c3,584$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474e…6d16backed Under50c3,582$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe415…549dbacked Under50c3,555$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac52…d1aabacked Over50c3,524$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…be8ebacked Under50c3,429$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5148…f775backed Under50c3,392$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…8eeebacked Over50c3,248$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabab…c93fbacked Over50c3,175$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f4…4bbfbacked Over50c3,145$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae9…3bcebacked Over50c3,141$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9147…f111backed Under50c3,141$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…35b5backed Under50c3,104$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5196…6d08backed Under50c3,101$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef2…0820backed Over50c3,062$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d4…3ecebacked Over50c3,030$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e83…7ed6backed Over50c3,009$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a8…1e1dbacked Over50c2,942$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af9…eb90backed Over50c2,931$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a07…683fbacked Under50c2,885$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e3…e22dbacked Under50c2,880$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68fa…ebc9backed Over50c2,822$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a42…5f63backed Over50c2,796$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb12f…0effbacked Under50c2,760$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7a…d2cbbacked Under50c2,751$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Over50c2,713$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a13…952fbacked Over50c2,708$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…2889backed Over50c2,685$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…2b0dbacked Under50c2,620$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c2,620$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9434854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x031c…a58dbacked Over50c2,596$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe2…f6d2backed Under50c2,583$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd600…e5bbbacked Over50c2,510$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e3…53d7backed Under50c2,493$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,475$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…7fc8backed Under50c2,474$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under48c2,440$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under51c2,429$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac9…9916backed Under50c2,414$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x867c…4624backed Over50c2,357$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cd…a0e8backed Under50c2,335$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c2,210$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e02…ff02backed Over50c2,146$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,854$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c1,701$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.242,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.