TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof 76ers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,242,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,242,019 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked 76ers14c362,705$50,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,777.4643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked 76ers16c210,329$34,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,063.5127424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers13c151,401$19,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,682.1887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed 76ers14c121,115$16,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,955.2132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked 76ers13c100,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers14c99,999$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.5754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed 76ers17c75,353$12,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,776.0532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd91…a603backed 76ers17c68,710$12,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,002.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked 76ers14c59,977$8,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,396.7112639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed 76ers15c44,670$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,880.2247028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers16c43,699$6,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,918.164,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked 76ers17c39,578$6,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,82447043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers11c38,190$4,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers15c36,472$5,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,363.231,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers8c35,720$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6851,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed 76ers13c31,409$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.2238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers9c30,158$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.1242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers11c27,945$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.264,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed 76ers0c27,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed 76ers19c25,382$4,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,768.732623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked 76ers17c23,800$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1362646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed 76ers14c20,693$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.946126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers13c19,953$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.861,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed 76ers10c19,077$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.68429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed 76ers4c18,856$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.528243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed 76ers16c18,284$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.548938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…008ebacked 76ers19c16,143$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.0780%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed 76ers16c14,993$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.9162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed 76ers17c13,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.732039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked 76ers14c11,838$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.7540035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed 76ers18c11,832$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.118834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers1c11,736$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.047211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed 76ers13c11,111$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.4221446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 76ers14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed 76ers18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9710641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked 76ers15c9,336$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 76ers16c9,250$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed 76ers14c8,902$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.443336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers19c8,124$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.482,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked 76ers13c8,056$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers11c7,582$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.61,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers13c7,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers13c7,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers15c7,411$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.741,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers15c7,143$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked 76ers20c7,000$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.982123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 76ers10c6,864$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.626353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed 76ers14c6,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers16c6,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked 76ers2c5,800$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.490%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed 76ers4c5,416$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.921216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed 76ers16c5,286$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.4661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed 76ers24c5,277$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.7454246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed 76ers13c5,250$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.369330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked 76ers12c5,131$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60129635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers16c5,000$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.6743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed 76ers16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246e…ebf2backed 76ers14c4,974$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba9…d552backed 76ers14c4,800$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked 76ers16c4,650$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.6130840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked 76ers5c4,450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.213915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-76.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked 76ers17c4,421$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.5446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Cavaliers80c4,330$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86619958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed 76ers16c4,248$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.3511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed 76ers14c4,059$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed 76ers10c4,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.827412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers8c3,780$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.221,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed 76ers16c3,740$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0811342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed 76ers14c3,623$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.215044%22 W · 28 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers14c3,161$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.3772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed 76ers23c3,102$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.975928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers14c3,073$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed 76ers13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed 76ers16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed 76ers26c2,919$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7599343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed 76ers14c2,880$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1310243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…d5b8backed 76ers18c2,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed 76ers17c2,616$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.3318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed 76ers15c2,561$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38410225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Cavaliers76c2,544$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5619957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed 76ers14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x537e…b626backed 76ers4c2,426$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers9c2,356$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.41,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed 76ers14c2,323$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7632330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Cavaliers74c2,268$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1612855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9d…a903backed 76ers18c2,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed 76ers6c2,100$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9955316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff61…e560backed 76ers15c2,037$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 76ers13c2,020$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed 76ers17c2,016$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed 76ers14c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29019735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed 76ers16c2,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.428759.8%52 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers14c1,971$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.085,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked 76ers23c1,914$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.167439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.