TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,113 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c64,679$33,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,437.6860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c33,135$15,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,704.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c28,946$14,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,183.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c17,201$8,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,254.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c8,557$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,278.8731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under53c7,588$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.2795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c7,477$3,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.972,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c7,010$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.122,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,376$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.781,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over47c4,909$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.1722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…24c7backed Over50c4,734$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c4,069$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…56d7backed Under52c3,957$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c0…1324backed Under52c3,787$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.9856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…f6f8backed Over48c3,562$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc00b…ae4ebacked Under52c3,466$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x841a…3999backed Over48c3,342$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c3,004$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.43,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa3…6964backed Under52c2,958$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bea…2e4dbacked Under51c2,871$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…f396backed Over48c2,806$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…0ed2backed Under52c2,792$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6023…4f9abacked Over48c2,792$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd74d…d4f6backed Over48c2,758$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c2,587$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,004$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.919742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under53c1,992$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.11,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Under53c1,873$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12f…0effbacked Under52c1,740$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c1,690$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.391,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…2b0dbacked Under51c1,566$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf3…8c14backed Over49c1,566$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over45c1,470$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over45c1,470$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.6458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over45c1,461$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c1,333$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under51c992.38$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under52c945.14$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over47c942.99$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under53c879.9$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5513638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over48c839.58$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40329347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c799.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Over50c689.36$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.322846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under52c634.31$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over47c594.27$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3120352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x867c…4624backed Over48c495$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af9…eb90backed Over48c455$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c418$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.462,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9147…f111backed Over48c415$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc1…e77ebacked Over48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under53c373.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0117153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Under55c363.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.697460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6422447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c335.34$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under52c314.55$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Under52c313.19$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.824060%24 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under51c292.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7719054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over45c286.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c277.39$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Under52c212.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.623259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under50c200.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.46453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9414059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under52c195.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7514053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Under54c195.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.014557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e95…3702backed Over49c190$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under52c186.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0523655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6676…cc0abacked Under50c186$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1946346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Under54c183.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.624738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c164.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.31,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df9…3f14backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c149.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.832,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c145.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under54c135.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2922953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under52c135.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8412650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cb…c0d4backed Over48c134$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under51c132.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c114.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.031,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Under50c106.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.247439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5135739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over47c99.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0314046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over51c98.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over51c98.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under53c92.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5614466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c91.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under52c75.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2534047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c74.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c71.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c7…e5dbbacked Under53c71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.