TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa028…0031

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
418
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 306 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.55
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.94
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$97.41
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$22.17
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.78
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$97.08
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.66
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.26
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.58
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$59.12
Showing 25 of 306 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.98
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$66.03
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+113%+$46.79
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$122.35
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$93.56
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$145.2
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.77
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$56.03
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$18.5
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$105.7
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.21
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$12.73
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$27.19
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$59.52
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.8
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$60.57
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$43.48
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.33
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.32
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.2
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$120.05
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$130.28
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$22.24
Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Wild vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$40.13
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.46
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.82
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$63.45
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.55
Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$9.73
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.67
Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.44
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+95%+$34.05
Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$87.48
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.85
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.34
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.76
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.03
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$59.52
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.99
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.8
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$18.9
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+199.6%+$101.91
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.61
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
WNBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.25
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.09
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.99
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$16.99
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.9
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$45.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.