Champions League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe5c45e792012d1286dffd98ac06cfc3b20bf431d304fae5d262e841e5faec05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Under | 33c | 23,230$7,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 19,749$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473.22 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.96 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 61c | 13,958$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 10,677$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.17 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 67c | 9,416$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.21 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Over | 67c | 4,475$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.95 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 43c | 3,783$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 66c | 3,122$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Under | 26c | 3,095$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Over | 70c | 2,999$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Over | 72c | 2,897$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 80c | 2,530$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 42c | 2,434$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 2,178$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.66 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 25c | 2,140$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 48c | 1,979$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 1,969$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.71 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 41c | 1,900$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 40c | 1,898$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.73 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 68c | 1,705$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 77c | 1,700$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 1,557$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.25 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Over | 59c | 1,529$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 70c | 1,440$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 10c | 1,363$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 4cpaid | +1,582.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over | 68c | 1,330$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 18c | 1,316$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.45 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 1,300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 31c | 1,294$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 68c | 1,200$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 65c | 1,196$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 1,067$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 70c | 1,064$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Over | 66c | 927.38$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 925.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 26c | 920.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 911.44$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 896.48$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8571backed Over | 68c | 886.32$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 59c | 855$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 53c | 840$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 55c | 832$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 31c | 754.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 13c | 730$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 32c | 700.88$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Under | 14c | 700$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 653.41$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.81 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 653.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.42 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 74c | 599.79$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 520.68$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 12c | 506.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Over | 71c | 502.58$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d06cbacked Over | 70c | 502.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Over | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Under | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Over | 64c | 467.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 68c | 443.36$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 69c | 435.8$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 410.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 24c | 406.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 402.7$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +483.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 69c | 398.57$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 42c | 387.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Under | 62c | 385.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…efbcbacked Under | 15c | 383.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bce…a18cbacked Over | 67c | 350.59$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over | 69c | 333.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 33c | 333.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 328.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 45c | 323.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 11c | 320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 32c | 316.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…ab92backed Over | 69c | 314.42$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Over | 68c | 314$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 68c | 310.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.