Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90acd1e7b7fb8a97d4e27a5986618aea63ea97881011acc54434d64de865976d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof Manchester City FC, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,361 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 10,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 9,670$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.01 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 7,782$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.42 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 4,917$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.18 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 4,053$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 2,811$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.39 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 2,553$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.01 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 2,020$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.42 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,411$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…d626backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 1,364$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 1,339$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 1,128$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.43 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 1,123$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 1,042$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 1,038$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 944.29$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 880.01$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 834.65$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 726.51$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 691.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 690.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Real Madrid CF | 72c | 666.45$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 586.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 522.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 517.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 460.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…1c4bbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 382.5$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 374.45$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 330.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…fbcdbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 324.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 301.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid CF | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 254.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 232.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…1cfabacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 201.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…1676backed Real Madrid CF | 70c | 201.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 194.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Real Madrid CF | 71c | 158$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…0923backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 147.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 144$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Real Madrid CF | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 136$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Manchester City FC | 23c | 130.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC | 23c | 130.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Real Madrid CF | 72c | 123.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 106.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 98.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Manchester City FC | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 87.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 86.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 82.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…e290backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f37…8907backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…32c1backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 78.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 74.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 72.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Real Madrid CF | 72c | 70.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 63.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 61.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 60.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 60.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 60.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 56.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…a150backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 54.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Real Madrid CF | 72c | 49.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 49.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 49.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…6732backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 39.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…fdbdbacked Real Madrid CF | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked Real Madrid CF | 78c | 32.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…f91abacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 30.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.