TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07d9…9397

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+2,118.6%+$423.72
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.89
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$8.44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$11.99
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$14.86
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$9.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53%+$24.91
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.01
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.25
Tiafoe vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$46.58
Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$32.67
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$18.98
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.12
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$16.24
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.18
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.92
Miami Open: McCartney Kessler vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harrisbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$58.94
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Thea Frodinbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$47
Austin: Bianca Andreescu vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.71
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.89
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.98
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Quentin Halysbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.17
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.99
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Phoenix: Blaise Bicknell vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.63
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Cap Cana: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Austin: Kimberly Birrell vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$11.33
Phoenix: Stefano Travaglia vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$36.03
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.97
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.