F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c97abfa8a121531c0ae6a055022967fe40c06c54dcd71f09e179649e8aa8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,702 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 70c | 14,274$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 28c | 13,729$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 30c | 12,323$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.54 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 72c | 12,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.32 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 7,461$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed No | 0c | 7,398$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 27c | 3,800$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 71c | 3,088$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.07 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 28c | 2,790$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 15c | 2,790$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 73c | 2,748$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 72c | 2,478$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 29c | 2,047$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked No | 31c | 1,741$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…de65backed No | 31c | 1,636$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 1c | 1,565$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 71c | 1,439$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 23c | 1,279$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…94acbacked Yes | 72c | 1,118$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 74c | 954.82$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Yes | 69c | 933.55$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 66c | 925.42$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…efc8backed Yes | 78c | 818.84$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…569fbacked Yes | 71c | 768.58$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 26c | 703.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 31c | 641.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6b9fbacked Yes | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 579.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 533.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed No | 19c | 483.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 408.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 75c | 408$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 75c | 399.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Yes | 70c | 357.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 67c | 334$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Yes | 69c | 333.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked Yes | 72c | 332$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked No | 13c | 304.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 13c | 279.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 66c | 266.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 12c | 257.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 77c | 231.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…b2e6backed Yes | 77c | 228.91$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed No | 40c | 219.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 73c | 208.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 201.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 10c | 198.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…7f3ebacked Yes | 74c | 190.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes | 66c | 181.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…c330backed Yes | 71c | 174.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…6523backed Yes | 72c | 164$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…3ddebacked Yes | 62c | 161.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 18c | 161.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed No | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 31c | 158.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…12b9backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…cf5bbacked Yes | 68c | 150.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked Yes | 71c | 150.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked No | 30c | 149.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 147.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6504…6bbbbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…01f3backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…6552backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked No | 14c | 137.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes | 70c | 135.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 16c | 133.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed No | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…de6cbacked Yes | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…81d3backed Yes | 59c | 100.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…8772backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…a8b8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 15c | 99.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 15c | 91.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 30c | 87.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…419dbacked Yes | 61c | 86.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…44e6backed No | 41c | 85.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…c0d5backed Yes | 42c | 83.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…15e7backed Yes | 67c | 75.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 28c | 73.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…3449backed Yes | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 71c | 70.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…b712backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked No | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 68.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed No | 15c | 66.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3dc0backed Yes | 66c | 60.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…f0b0backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 70c | 55.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…e3a2backed No | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…df81backed Yes | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…8774backed Yes | 70c | 50.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…9facbacked Yes | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…1cb4backed Yes | 73c | 49.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Yes | 70c | 45.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.