TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1071…e39e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst F1 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+607.1%+$601
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$246
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+638.7%+$337.51
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.05
Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.69
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+695.4%+$344.16
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$107.43
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$252
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$460
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$155.68
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.56
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-10.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.51
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+875.6%+$718
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harris vs. Molcan: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$216.48
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Timofey Skatovbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Emanuela Lares vs Anastasia Tikhonovabacked Emanuela Lares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+700%+$700
Naples: Andrea Guerrieri vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Jennifer Brady vs Sloane Stephensbacked Jennifer Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.57
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Morelos: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Takeru Yuzukibacked Takeru Yuzuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Miami Open, Qualification: Reese Brantmeier vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
Phoenix: Darwin Blanch vs Billy Harrisbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Chwalinska vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$83.11
Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Aether · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$258
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+143.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?backed Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.