TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,960 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c17,301$8,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,408.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c10,789$5,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,260.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c7,146$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.7934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c7,018$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.831,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under48c5,933$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8488444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c4,906$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.531,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c59…ebd0backed Over51c4,568$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…d168backed Over51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d58…1db6backed Over51c4,488$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c3,232$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6161,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d23…d9e0backed Under49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c3,183$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3dd…32d6backed Over51c3,032$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe610…bc4ebacked Over51c3,027$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…620abacked Over50c2,974$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ac…cdd1backed Under49c2,964$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,957$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2856…6312backed Over50c2,949$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e20…fa65backed Under50c2,948$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e7…3c39backed Under49c2,893$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1434…1c32backed Over50c2,886$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9f…637ebacked Under50c2,867$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa91f…3140backed Under50c2,852$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce2…6578backed Over50c2,849$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x028d…9a9dbacked Under50c2,847$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb2a…3e23backed Under50c2,837$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9381…85eebacked Over51c2,834$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf814…dbefbacked Under49c2,826$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40fc…5579backed Over50c2,793$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3677…0190backed Over50c2,783$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53c0…d20bbacked Under50c2,779$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0391…6137backed Under50c2,755$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…9659backed Over50c2,752$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,743$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d1…6d0cbacked Under49c2,735$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50a…d8b5backed Under49c2,728$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0879…a6adbacked Over51c2,720$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6773…cda1backed Under49c2,713$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over67c2,712$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.0826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa448…a67dbacked Over51c2,667$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…5215backed Under50c2,635$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…ae7fbacked Over50c2,618$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec4…0cf8backed Over50c2,609$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fd…acb6backed Over50c2,596$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…d7febacked Under50c2,587$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc290…32a3backed Over51c2,579$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf361…71e9backed Under50c2,574$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d22…376ebacked Over50c2,571$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6489…b588backed Under50c2,568$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c2,562$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.1769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a19…3507backed Under50c2,535$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under30c2,482$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.761,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb9…4fc4backed Over50c2,390$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedd8…35ccbacked Under49c2,268$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8384…98c6backed Under49c1,922$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.810847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf911…1b5bbacked Under49c1,722$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed79…f6d5backed Over50c1,693$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63e5…94bbbacked Under51c1,666$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef4…3817backed Under49c1,655$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b2…a945backed Under49c1,545$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86e…cc90backed Under49c1,544$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838f…794fbacked Over51c1,433$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c1,368$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb33…cffebacked Under49c1,133$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c1,103$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under34c1,037$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over76c1,000$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.552460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over50c979.18$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.599952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under2c865$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Under12c799.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942425%6 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Under3c793.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over75c788.66$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6615863.9%101 W · 57 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c758.2$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over68c700.84$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under12c649.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793619.4%7 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c633.3$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.273,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under7c600$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8530224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c544.88$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.163,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over50c531.83$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Under48c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Under20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801450%7 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+81.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Under48c385.83$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.22268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c378.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c378.77$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over54c332.62$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c318.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.342,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Under47c261.09$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.718143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Under48c254.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226354%34 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over60c200.94$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.921,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.