NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe597fd73b895cd51def6e454ba5514b58a5d9fac5fd2c81919979473eb4c450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $985,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $985,192 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 48c | 512,594$246,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,045.12 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 52c | 444,444$231,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,333.12 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Pistons | 50c | 59,364$29,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,681.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 53c | 50,702$26,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,858.03 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 51c | 40,341$20,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,770.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 50c | 30,686$15,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 51c | 30,602$15,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,883.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 51c | 27,197$13,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,347.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 48c | 26,000$12,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,520 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 52c | 23,107$11,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,183.66 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Pistons | 48c | 12,292$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors | 52c | 11,657$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.69 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 49c | 9,824$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.77 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 49c | 9,471$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Raptors | 50c | 8,559$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Raptors | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.98 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors | 50c | 7,529$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.21 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Pistons | 51c | 6,471$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 47c | 5,914$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.47 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 51c | 5,802$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.2 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 44c | 5,547$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Raptors | 51c | 5,260$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.57 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons | 48c | 4,627$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,883$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 50c | 3,457$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…fb00backed Raptors | 50c | 2,942$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…14b0backed Raptors | 50c | 2,934$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…9863backed Pistons | 50c | 2,907$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…40e3backed Pistons | 50c | 2,896$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…0837backed Pistons | 50c | 2,835$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…dffcbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,816$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 52c | 2,691$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.59 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7416…60d5backed Raptors | 50c | 2,652$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…96aebacked Pistons | 50c | 2,633$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…778ebacked Pistons | 50c | 2,627$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aba…0c9bbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,614$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…995abacked Raptors | 50c | 2,589$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 54c | 2,576$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…705abacked Pistons | 50c | 2,327$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.8 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,979$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Raptors | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 44c | 1,813$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,745$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Raptors | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 49c | 1,528$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pistons | 48c | 1,520$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Pistons | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Raptors | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,392$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors | 59c | 1,249$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.88 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons | 47c | 1,218$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.6 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,136$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…85f7backed Pistons | 48c | 1,090$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Pistons | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 53c | 1,057$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.87 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Pistons | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.71 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Pistons | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Pistons | 56c | 891.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Pistons | 45c | 888.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Pistons | 46c | 783.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.64 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Pistons | 51c | 780.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pistons | 51c | 772.55$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 49c | 744.66$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Pistons | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 47c | 620.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Raptors | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 51c | 599.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Raptors | 53c | 557$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.79 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Pistons | 51c | 535.29$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Raptors | 55c | 513.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pistons | 52c | 511.54$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Raptors | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Pistons | 49c | 499$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Raptors | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Raptors | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Pistons | 48c | 453.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Raptors | 52c | 452.3$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Raptors | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Pistons | 45c | 429.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Pistons | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Pistons | 50c | 419.87$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…0e12backed Pistons | 50c | 406.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…ea4ebacked Raptors | 50c | 405.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1d…e010backed Raptors | 50c | 404.92$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.