TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe071…2d1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
609
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT48957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 489 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.47
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.67
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.54
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.76
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$77.38
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$154
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Showing 25 of 489 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.83
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.98
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$8.46
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.55
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$23.15
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$55.89
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+89%+$47.1
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+241.3%+$1,315.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,140
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,597Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+172.1%+$2,747.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$820
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$804.79
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,561Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+105.5%+$4,812.78
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+589.7%+$707.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+34.4%+$513.41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$34.45
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Peru win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+70.6%+$211.9
Will Lithuania vs. Israel end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$149.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+52.9%+$105.79
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27.79
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.6%+$25.15
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+107.1%+$42.18
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$397.77
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33%+$267.72
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+84%+$251.55
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,380.95
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$306.45
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+60.6%+$1,126.41
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$103.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+202.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$184.93
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,802.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.18
SIUE Cougars vs. Air Force Falconsbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$78.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,677Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.8%+$903.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.