TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c20,960$9,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,457.396,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed Over1c18,321$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6780%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c16,847$8,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,414.14,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over50c16,800$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4003138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9513837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over53c1,741$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over41c1,700$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9211142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Under47c1,442$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Under49c1,222$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.432055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over54c1,150$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under49c1,025$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.993953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over33c999$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.674932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c823.61$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over53c800$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.184318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over55c758.33$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c736.11$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9174256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over35c700$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Under20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over30c496.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.399929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under19c460.44$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5139948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under22c456.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6517428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c426.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over26c384.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c361.11$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed Under49c307.41$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under32c259.92$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5229041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c254$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.498919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c244.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.643241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under54c213.7$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.37751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c212.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under63c203.17$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1724844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over60c202.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.762433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c196.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Over7c195.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Over16c185$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over62c169.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over54c167.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Under52c159.11$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.932544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under80c157.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over77c150$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under20c146.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0227748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Under52c144$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.546440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under36c140.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under19c140$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.416863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over29c136.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over42c132.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4920931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c93.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.981,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under52c92.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.123961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over45c90.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5312245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over49c83.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.074233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over53c77.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over52c76.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9910046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over18c73.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.434323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under19c71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c66.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe43…244dbacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Under20c59.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+101.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over27c53.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.694843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under46c52.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.462825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f9…26afbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69a7…d0febacked Over44c45.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over53c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe943…634cbacked Over51c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c61…dfbebacked Over39c35.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+107.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over52c35.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…4b0cbacked Over53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Over80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-29.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over46c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84422.7%10 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over67c29.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Under63c27.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5c…dba2backed Over44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under49c21.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9942658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under50c21.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7711255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under59c21.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.643148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610964.2%70 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.