TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94f9…26af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$40.43
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+131.8%+$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+48.3%+$22.1
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1)backed paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-16.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.27
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.98
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.