TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c24,176$11,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,034.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over64c4,100$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over37c3,027$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1205927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Over49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over76c2,400$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8241776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over4c2,050$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over76c1,977$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.732055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over47c1,969$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.359052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under25c1,470$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.510245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under24c1,360$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.9138729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c1,032$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.371,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over47c999.98$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+91%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c961.31$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over49c851.41$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.191855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under24c800.47$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.369923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over41c775.01$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3192330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over59c600$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.063724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under25c595.69$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9721626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over73c548.07$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over49c544.1$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over49c461.2$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Over76c423.68$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over49c408.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c387.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.881,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over46c354.13$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Over49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over61c313.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9819544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over49c300.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.075547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over48c299.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.975440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under57c294.75$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.75232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over60c284.84$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.916745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc581…ade5backed Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c254.1$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12722553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f0b…1db9backed Over50c252.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c249.72$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.292,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over58c239.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.94452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…7e29backed Over43c231.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over50c201.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Over49c195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5526641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Over50c181.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Under28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over63c163.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.216643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaab…8b4cbacked Over9c153.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Over67c149.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over49c148.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over64c144.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7618656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over51c138.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over54c133.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.393966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over15c130$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c129.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over14c126.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1729946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4289…3df1backed Over77c125.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under25c109.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1318650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d31…79fbbacked Over77c104.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69a7…d0febacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x159a…4350backed Over67c99.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over76c97.66$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2224757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c86.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.131,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4111741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe681…6e1ebacked Over48c79.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5538748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over51c68.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under48c67.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under34c63.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.823040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under46c59.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.712744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over73c58.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0737039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over52c57.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7697…b403backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5628446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over74c52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3713052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under45c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.610143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under34c45.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under32c45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada9…644abacked Over77c43.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over50c41.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.537241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over75c39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2511855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over52c38.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over63c36.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.083154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c34.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under50c31.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.945752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over73c27.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%11 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under46c26.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3327850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.