TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc32…00bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
688
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.37
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.43
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.87
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.55
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$15.4
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$43.86
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.46
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.82
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Cádiz CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.64
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+189.1%+$90.86
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$40.19
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT8158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$72.18
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$291
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$101.22
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.86
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$49.2
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$38.84
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$70.3
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.54
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.63
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.55
Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$143.26
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.31
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$50.83
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT7451.4%38 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.11
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100.99
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$116.29
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT6847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$25.58
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.95
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$17.55
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.52
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$16.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.51
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.23
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.64
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.04
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$79.7
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.3
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.14
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$71.52
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.28
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$186.43
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$103.79
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$50.43
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
SC Paderborn 07 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$21.79
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$41.35
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$15
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$30
1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+102.3%+$16.37
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.6%+$29.41
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rangers FC vs. Dundee United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$35.85
Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Motherwell FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Vitória SC vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+89.5%+$35.79
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.9%+$44.47
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
FC Arouca vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+87.9%+$14.61
SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+103%+$30.9
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.94
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.12
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.3
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$39
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$49.46
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$41.18
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.6%+$14.91
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.78
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$63.78
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$54.43
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$52.92
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$30.97
Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$31.04
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+107.9%+$32.37
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+101.9%+$20.28
Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+68.4%+$13.67
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$60.22
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$28.5
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$27.45
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+175.7%+$49.18
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+97.6%+$14.65
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$23.54
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.84
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.43
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.62
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.69
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.81
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$85.61
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+89.7%+$30.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcanbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.