Champions League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d812d4d83de1c6602667783033fa1d2f4d85c55eebe34c18a77044aef0c527d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 9,503$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.38 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Over | 67c | 5,100$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 76c | 3,781$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 3,108$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.68 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 2,674$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.1 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 79c | 1,960$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.1 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 76c | 1,580$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.8 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 1,565$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.99 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,560$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.93 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Over | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 650$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.5 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Over | 74c | 590.86$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Over | 80c | 534.53$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.62 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…e485backed Under | 24c | 529.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 22c | 455.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.91 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 423.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 66c | 408$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 400$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.42 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 26c | 387.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 79c | 378$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 21c | 355.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 24c | 349.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 16c | 272$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 12c | 268.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.54 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…dec4backed Over | 79c | 254.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 75c | 207$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 203.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed Over | 78c | 191.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 27c | 160.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 41c | 159.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Over | 65c | 90.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 84.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 16c | 77.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 79c | 71.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 61.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 76c | 52.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 40c | 51.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…72bcbacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 13cpaid | +378.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…a2a5backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 43.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…4076backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1339…f327backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 73c | 26.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 80c | 25.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 78c | 25.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 70c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 78c | 15.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.