TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Over59c5,422$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.6326445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c5,149$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.771,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over55c3,724$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.013050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under40c2,026$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.8210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c1,533$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.511,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under25c1,448$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.7346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c1,334$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.5859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.518354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under38c906.49$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.0324327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c618.62$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over75c616.46$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.1359136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over50c567.24$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.385745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over61c564.15$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+272.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over60c498$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.85018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.813134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over61c475$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.753930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c472.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0f…8a1abacked Over62c464$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under32c403.54$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7415936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c342$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over76c338$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7329142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6b…1287backed Over57c282.93$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222c…0772backed Under46c241.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.34100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa733…27e2backed Over59c224.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe307…5644backed Over55c217.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c211.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3323947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over69c210.27$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over66c199.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.91656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under40c190$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11413252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c186.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.641238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under43c186.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.063250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Over54c183.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10216251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over64c161.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.494852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under43c151.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over58c147.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.419841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under45c130.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.44740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4243427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under43c126.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2413931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over50c119.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Under43c108.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.953060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over70c106.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5422356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over59c92.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Under47c92.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.886952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Under41c86.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.924461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under27c83.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4220042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0f…93cbbacked Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under38c76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.773644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over60c69.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6713149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c67.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9611653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under42c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.729350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under42c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7139746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under30c61.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.579233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0511952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under40c59.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9911449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Over60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c54.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Under43c53.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b5…4a34backed Under30c52.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under30c51.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.756259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x499b…19eebacked Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over58c45.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c44.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5463150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Under46c43.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.474463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over45c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.548252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f2…0546backed Under43c42.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Over61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under41c36.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.583452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4753…6696backed Over61c36.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over71c32.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d6f…3d82backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Under43c29.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c6b…a5d5backed Under43c27.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec51…b1d3backed Over42c24.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c23.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2537753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over55c20.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over61c19.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.842748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe410…a392backed Over59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Over71c14.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.