TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb58…4ace

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
370
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT9451.1%48 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.19
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.54
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6250%31 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.5%+$155.24
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$16.87
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$12.7
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
South Africa to score first vs. Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$68.33
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$76.16
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.4
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$27.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.