TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under31c69,036$21,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,325.8326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Over69c31,164$21,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,660.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Under0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over70c15,434$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over69c14,415$9,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c12,716$8,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.241,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under30c9,248$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.442334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under31c9,000$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.49348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c8,008$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.381,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe635…702abacked Over70c7,786$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c5,661$3,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.124461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over69c5,108$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.49757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Under29c3,721$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under31c3,252$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.1463346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under31c2,812$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.722240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over69c2,754$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.622142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under31c2,474$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.846553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over70c2,033$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over62c2,000$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.74866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under32c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.991546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Over69c1,884$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Over69c1,852$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.171450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over67c1,843$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c1,717$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1643252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over62c1,661$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under32c1,441$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under12c1,396$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.871118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over69c1,365$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0232843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under39c1,249$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under31c1,234$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5421037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under30c1,214$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3424340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over69c1,116$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.941957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under38c1,033$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8315936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under33c1,009$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over69c888$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.285658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under41c856.03$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over69c797.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.122054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Under32c734$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Over69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under30c672.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.818751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under9c650$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11ea…9e46backed Under32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Under20c610$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over69c607.09$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over68c589.85$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under30c583.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.12437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Under32c575.52$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.175123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over69c572.46$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over69c568.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.377065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under4c537.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403218.8%6 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18538253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over62c494.74$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over69c492.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over79c483.19$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.474477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa467…587dbacked Under32c455.48$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under31c371.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.032231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c370.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4231847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under28c365.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2118250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under31c354.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under32c343.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under25c333.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c311.58$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5988631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0e…2932backed Over68c308.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Over69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Over68c299.96$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+129.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c299.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.946741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over70c297.81$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f36…1df7backed Under42c297.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over70c292.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.891656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over70c286$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over60c279.1$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.64540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…6415backed Over72c274.23$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079b…7263backed Over69c273.22$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over70c242.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.863923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392955.2%16 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under32c209.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.14540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under32c208.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Under32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Under31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62100%0 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over69c196.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8525659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.