TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa467…587d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$259.32
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
First Blood in Game 2?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$124.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+89%+$114.77
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$85.62
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$217
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.36
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$155.19
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$288.25
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$109.6
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.65
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.1
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$212.31
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$146.77
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.66
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$246.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+132%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$222.13
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Ruudbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$183.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$108.04
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$133.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs QoR - Map 1 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.