Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ca5631944a321a1ef49f2fb5e6563a55a2fbcaf1d5fdad78447c9c8bcdef30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 38c | 6,344$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.9 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 68c | 3,245$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 47c | 1,854$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 39c | 1,582$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Under | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 63c | 951.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 882.14$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 728.19$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.54 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 43c | 727$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 650.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.23 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 569.85$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Under | 42c | 378.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 32c | 325$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 32c | 325$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 52c | 302.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…5d7dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 49c | 242.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 32c | 225$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Under | 35c | 155.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 123.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 27c | 106.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 45c | 105.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 45c | 65.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 59.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 52c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 53c | 49.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 49.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 53c | 47.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b010backed Over | 48c | 45.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 32c | 40.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 65c | 36.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 69c | 29.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…29eabacked Over | 61c | 26.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 16.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.