Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667ad0cab1c3d6d1e1d010aec110797467537f63fe95297f339d9fe2c20a3d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 27c | 1,878$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 827.89$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 815.83$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 60c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 64c | 778.04$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 700.82$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 530.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 33c | 447.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 45c | 437.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 405$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 58c | 265.46$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 249.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 188.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 71c | 168.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 110.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 66c | 95.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 32c | 79.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Under | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 18c | 61.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 38c | 33.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 26.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 63c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 66c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.