TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ba6…4248

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 61 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$15.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.31
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$216.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.53
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.04
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.02
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.29
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.