Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb6624ed2f1a7d277876895dbec78721714a94fa90640549dc92ad2d8440824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United FCof Arsenal FC, Newcastle United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 15,235$8,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 8,693$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.86 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.93 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 5,895$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.6 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 5,693$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.54 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Arsenal FC | 30c | 3,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.7 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 3,126$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.27 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 2,218$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.83 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Arsenal FC | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Arsenal FC | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 895.93$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.35 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Newcastle United FC | 48c | 754.07$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.76 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 711.54$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 688.13$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.78 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 599.89$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arsenal FC | 33c | 528.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 484.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Newcastle United FC | 55c | 450.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 404.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Arsenal FC | 48c | 404.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 397.21$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 391.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Newcastle United FC | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 363.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 299.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Newcastle United FC | 56c | 295.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Newcastle United FC | 57c | 293.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arsenal FC | 42c | 289.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Newcastle United FC | 54c | 289.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Arsenal FC | 20c | 288.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 279.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Newcastle United FC | 51c | 276.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Arsenal FC | 57c | 243.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Newcastle United FC | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 235.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 232.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Newcastle United FC | 57c | 229.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 222$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 219.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 215.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 213.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 210.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Newcastle United FC | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 197.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 190.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 186.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Newcastle United FC | 58c | 179.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Newcastle United FC | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 175.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Newcastle United FC | 56c | 175.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 170.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Arsenal FC | 57c | 170.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 169.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 162.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 161.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 159.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 152.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 142.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Arsenal FC | 21c | 134.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Newcastle United FC | 42c | 134.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Arsenal FC | 42c | 132.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 126.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Newcastle United FC | 39c | 123.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Arsenal FC | 58c | 121.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Newcastle United FC | 41c | 120.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Newcastle United FC | 40c | 116.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Newcastle United FC | 39c | 113.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…52bbbacked Newcastle United FC | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 107.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 105.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…8e56backed Arsenal FC | 60c | 105.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb77…9b07backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 103.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Arsenal FC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Newcastle United FC | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 41c | 91.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Arsenal FC | 57c | 91.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 89.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Newcastle United FC | 41c | 77.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 76.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Newcastle United FC | 58c | 73.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…632fbacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 73.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 72.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Arsenal FC | 55c | 70.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed Arsenal FC | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 68.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 65.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Newcastle United FC | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…d0afbacked Newcastle United FC | 58c | 64.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked Newcastle United FC | 42c | 61.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 59.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5c82backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 58.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.