TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under58c23,002$13,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,728.0410962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over38c12,413$4,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70313353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under53c9,915$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.533348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over45c9,878$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.144540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under67c6,016$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.212653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c4,923$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c3,362$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.9776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over35c1,630$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.866144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over34c1,412$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.25442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Under68c1,233$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c865.3$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.811,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over34c812.87$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c809$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c682.53$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.261,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c635.17$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.771,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over34c555$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over30c449.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13255751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under66c387.39$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.715139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over35c329.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3235428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under66c295.45$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.459061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c288.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.361,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over35c272.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2472142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over37c270.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5616024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e8…3f48backed Under76c259.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c259.37$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9648950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under59c256.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over35c222.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under66c218.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9633551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c215.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over33c207.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7215738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under67c196.34$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over47c195.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.984151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed Over50c194.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under69c187.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under66c170$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Over34c169.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over49c158.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.552846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.436160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0214431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over35c137.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.058037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under65c134.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.925056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…bb75backed Under67c116.45$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over35c112.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.47150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under68c111.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.543167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under67c109.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c100.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.188041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95c0…f0c5backed Over34c97.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Over39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under67c91.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.317652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under62c87.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over34c86.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.568144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Under59c82.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.343941%16 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x619e…0149backed Under60c81.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.052176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e18…316ebacked Over35c81.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1411636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.145433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.071457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under66c68.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over37c58.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.443345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Under63c57.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under68c56.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3721254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under67c50.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.678549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa185…497abacked Under67c44.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under66c44.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.962281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over33c42.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under65c40.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1522146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…788abacked Over36c40.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.422254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542788.9%24 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under72c34.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.563663.9%23 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under66c33.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.552763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over34c33.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.313336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8b…863ebacked Under59c33.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Under59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.562850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8736…dfaebacked Under59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under65c32.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Under63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.495068%34 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Under51c30.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.921877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x846d…d14fbacked Under67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Over51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Under57c25.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.891850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…9384backed Under63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under75c21.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4218961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Under64c21.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under65c19.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8512854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under70c16.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40aa…087ebacked Under64c16.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.