Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ffbfb9112ea0b75ecfcf4cc626009b22c59428f2f09e60be93bd49d0731ed46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 58c | 23,002$13,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,728.04 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 38c | 12,413$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 53c | 9,915$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 45c | 9,878$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.14 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 67c | 6,016$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 4,923$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 3,362$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.97 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 35c | 1,630$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.86 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Under | 68c | 1,233$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 865.3$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 34c | 812.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 62c | 809$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.42 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 682.53$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 635.17$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 34c | 555$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 30c | 449.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 66c | 387.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 35c | 329.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 66c | 295.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 288.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 35c | 272.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 37c | 270.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…3f48backed Under | 76c | 259.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 259.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 59c | 256.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 35c | 222.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 218.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 215.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 33c | 207.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 67c | 196.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 47c | 195.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…8e56backed Over | 50c | 194.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 187.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 66c | 170$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Over | 34c | 169.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 35c | 137.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 65c | 134.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…bb75backed Under | 67c | 116.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 35c | 112.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 68c | 111.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 67c | 109.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 100.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…f0c5backed Over | 34c | 97.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 67c | 91.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 62c | 87.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 86.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Under | 59c | 82.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 60c | 81.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…316ebacked Over | 35c | 81.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 66c | 68.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 37c | 58.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Under | 63c | 57.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 68c | 56.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 67c | 50.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…497abacked Under | 67c | 44.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under | 66c | 44.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Over | 33c | 42.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 65c | 40.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…788abacked Over | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 66c | 33.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 34c | 33.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…863ebacked Under | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Under | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…d14fbacked Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 57c | 25.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed Under | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 75c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Under | 64c | 21.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 70c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…087ebacked Under | 64c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.