Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798f4472c1f62735467f631e7c8c37fa1d8ee789b8bf5d4b24d16039a373ac1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 11c | 6,306$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.18 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 6,273$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 41c | 5,688$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 5,242$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.35 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 3,901$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 3,468$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.57 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 2,934$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 41c | 2,009$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.72 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 43c | 1,380$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.51 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…a0a1backed Under | 8c | 1,176$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,145%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Under | 78c | 1,156$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 80c | 1,152$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.95 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 78c | 1,078$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 847.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.63 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 11c | 788.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 6c | 715.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.43 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 43c | 673.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 51c | 556.16$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 71c | 545$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.1 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 6c | 532.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.27 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 6c | 494.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.04 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 14c | 483.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 19c | 452.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 6c | 440.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.32 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 415.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.09 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 73c | 412.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.66 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Over | 76c | 385.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 48c | 364.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…970abacked Under | 68c | 360.57$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 40c | 343.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Under | 60c | 324.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 316.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 301.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 32c | 296.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 31c | 283$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 80c | 280$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 35c | 274.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 272.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed Under | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Over | 80c | 263.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 6c | 258.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 80c | 228.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 6c | 224.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Over | 80c | 221.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 30c | 197.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 40c | 181.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 62c | 172.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed9…b344backed Under | 29c | 162.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 13c | 140.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Under | 51c | 140.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 37c | 135.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 10c | 127.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 66c | 124.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…e43abacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…f946backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 69c | 113.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 109.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 26c | 106.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 26c | 106.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 100.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 15c | 85.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 77c | 80.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 72c | 78.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 80c | 76.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…58b1backed Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 21c | 74.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 22c | 74.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 38c | 62.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 57c | 58.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 21c | 58.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 51c | 54.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 28c | 49.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…6dfcbacked Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…c3babacked Over | 62c | 47.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Under | 76c | 46.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 65c | 46.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 44c | 45.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 55c | 45.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 80c | 45.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78c…22d1backed Over | 80c | 44.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 42.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 40.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 74c | 40.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 73c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…3eedbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.