TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14ec…0923

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$250.89
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$287.13
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.66
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.06
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$472.98
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$25.16
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$64.29
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$68.15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+80.2%+$160.39
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.63
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$38.64
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.89
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$63.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.