Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e331b8accd9dcce7a8518706c4fa7d94d2edf029b94270212dff81b94b552ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,507 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 2,993$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.95 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 1,165$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.31 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 46c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 630.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 564.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 519.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 52c | 480.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 400.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 379.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 370.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 13c | 341.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 75c | 329.62$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked No | 53c | 310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 59c | 282.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4f42backed Yes | 77c | 258.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 46c | 236.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 232.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 18c | 222.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 188$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 183.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 169.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 162.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 52c | 134.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Yes | 48c | 122.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 43c | 121$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 98.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 53c | 95.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 57c | 90.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 89.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…800bbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 48c | 76.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 74.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 56c | 70.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 43c | 66.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 43c | 60.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 60.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 44c | 59.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 57.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 39c | 57.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 46c | 52.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 46c | 49.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 47c | 42.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 51c | 35.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 55c | 32.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 22.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 51c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 54c | 20.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.