TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f28…266ebacked No67c136,868$91,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,042.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes34c40,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,399.9816040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes34c30,886$10,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,384.523557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c22,031$7,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,206.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked No68c21,650$14,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,635.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes33c16,918$5,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,334.9317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c16,324$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,490.222,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c15,285$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,535.734,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes33c8,621$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.8575542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes69c7,112$4,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.596066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No3c6,162$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7810042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No66c5,600$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.512832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c5,368$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.671,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes33c4,938$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.274546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed No6c4,350$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c3,968$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.661,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No68c3,647$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.242751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes32c3,268$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a2…a495backed Yes35c3,153$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.72812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No67c3,128$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.0456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Yes34c3,083$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No26c2,997$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.3722534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c2,852$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.592,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes39c2,495$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.84240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes34c2,453$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.9827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes35c2,402$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.231435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No68c2,247$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.3840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c2,129$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.6215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes37c2,080$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.673342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes28c2,050$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.217062.9%44 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes28c2,050$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.212462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.986262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.941752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c1,676$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0691,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes33c1,590$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.34548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ea…795abacked Yes36c1,587$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c1,574$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6315735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No11c1,561$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes31c1,546$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.8311942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes37c1,514$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.8467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes67c1,463$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes68c1,442$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.556229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes72c1,405$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes66c1,358$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9113748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0a…898cbacked No65c1,354$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f1…9878backed Yes79c1,318$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes55c1,296$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Yes36c1,279$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.614959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7689042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes33c1,163$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.4711234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No63c1,132$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.347061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d3…89e4backed Yes36c1,126$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.043737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c1,122$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes34c1,100$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.998756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f325backed Yes35c1,098$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.891435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes28c1,091$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.596160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No19c1,084$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8113748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes33c1,056$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c999.94$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9646551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…9802backed Yes79c997.67$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.51540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c961.6$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4253134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c918.99$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.581,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed No64c917.25$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.041428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes34c900.07$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.2355351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No66c880$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.3758446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No33c862.47$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.026136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Yes36c801.33$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No64c799.99$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.9914354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No68c756.84$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes36c754.11$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.633135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c751.9$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed No66c742.12$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.83767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes32c734.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.154936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes36c699.86$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c639.74$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.721,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes62c629$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4414658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes34c576.12$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.281643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No19c535.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No64c535.06$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.442552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes38c506.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.184531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3306350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes31c479.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.722123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0467…5001backed Yes67c453.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c446.85$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.66,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes34c445.62$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6712748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No64c410.93$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9917959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No64c410.93$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9918156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes36c396.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.998345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No68c392.32$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.784146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd990…749ebacked Yes21c386.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+137.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No42c385.63$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.837037.1%26 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No64c362.01$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6916858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed No64c352.48$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.