TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x332a…33ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.6
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.12
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.64
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,310.67
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,600.24
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$496.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$220.56
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$662.4
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$710.8
Will Everton win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.93
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$534.28
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$518.19
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$129.99
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.66
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$172.94
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.09
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$899.77
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$67
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$774.64
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,488.73
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,476.57
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$633.4
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$154.53
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$479.52
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$299.13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$280.54
Will Barcelona beat Bayern Munich?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$229.77
Will RB Leipzig beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$500
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,247.01
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$360.61
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$272.82
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$608
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,132.53
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,390.84
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.75
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$41.95
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,691.49
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,001
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$3,033.03
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Cornerbacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$334.75
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.93
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.76
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.12
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.84
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.36
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+372.2%+$1,772.88
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.62
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,087.91
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.26
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$375.29
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$780
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,640
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$411.11
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,300
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15,005Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5,272.02
Shanghai Rolex Masters: David Goffin vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,646.61
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+35.2%+$886.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.42
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,239.38
Will Girona win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.66
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$567.5
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.54
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$81.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.59
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,525Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$754.36
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$365
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.3
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,622.39
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$283.76
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$652.78
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$155.62
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$679.68
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.4
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,554
Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.9
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+55%+$840.77
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,019.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$115.44
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$187.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+161.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$422.55
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$409.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$390.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29,835.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$848.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.