TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
United Statesof United States, Paraguay
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked Paraguay35c999.98$350 inLost-$349.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Paraguay40c873.52$349 inLost-$349.4134249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked United States60c834.75$500 inWon+$334.751770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa49f…9f01backed United States65c723.67$470 inWon+$253.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed United States65c196.64$128 inWon+$68.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Paraguay42c191.36$79 inLost-$79.4212871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed United States59c170$100 inWon+$7010426.9%28 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb99d…e4e5backed United States65c76.92$50 inWon+$26.927851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3852…e3a8backed United States69c36.05$25 inWon+$11.051850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed United States60c28.33$17 inWon+$11.3322752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.