TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,412 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under38c1,354$514 inWon+$839.5234357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over62c1,311$812 inLost-$812.386738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c598.97$228 inWon+$371.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c419.25$164 inWon+$254.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over62c322.21$200 inLost-$2006173.8%45 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Over61c162.95$100 inLost-$10017447.7%83 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae3…6c99backed Over60c160.77$96 inLost-$96.461030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a5…3611backed Over60c153.83$92 inLost-$92.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under40c150$60 inWon+$9012871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under39c146.15$57 inWon+$89.154641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c131.86$49 inWon+$83.072,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc61…bc17backed Over62c95.16$59 inLost-$5911152.3%58 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost-$507648.7%37 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over23c66.94$15 inLost-$15.1180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over63c63.6$40 inLost-$4011748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Over62c48.39$30 inLost-$309749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a01…df01backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Over63c47.81$30 inLost-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over62c41.94$26 inLost-$2621226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c35.9$13 inWon+$22.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over61c32.83$20 inLost-$2022752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over63c31.75$20 inLost-$207045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa09c…2fe5backed Over60c25$15 inLost-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.