Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f85e682f926acb454e7387d50fdfcc1ecfe8b45c6a24fc6ed60dba97f4d035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 45c | 22,899$10,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,594.52 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 12,924$7,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,066.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 55c | 2,188$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.4 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 38c | 1,606$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.22 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 1,442$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.47 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 1,179$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Over | 55c | 1,014$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 690.82$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 55c | 636.48$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…472bbacked Over | 55c | 450$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 46c | 383.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 312$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 293.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…4114backed Over | 55c | 274.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 36c | 249.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…68f9backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 48c | 209.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…56d6backed Over | 55c | 200.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 189.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 181.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 49c | 163.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 55c | 142.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…4d1bbacked Over | 54c | 95.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 53c | 93.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…df01backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 71.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 63c | 62.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x790b…0728backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…f1d4backed Over | 55c | 53.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Over | 63c | 51.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…f019backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…80febacked Over | 54c | 46.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Over | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…6e11backed Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb1…6eb0backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.