Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc586a81ea649a9812e29a78174aab1ee8bd737d47852b7bf8f0298c2e9100dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.95 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…4367backed Over | 30c | 5,589$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 4,678$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 30c | 2,817$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.02 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 2,128$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.41 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 17c | 1,769$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over | 30c | 1,670$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 70c | 1,640$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…6097backed Over | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 1,172$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Over | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Over | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 8c | 657.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 30c | 519.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 30c | 515.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 378.14$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 9c | 352.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 71c | 346.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…68b9backed Over | 30c | 340.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…5fc3backed Under | 76c | 272.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…a859backed Over | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 21c | 219.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…2961backed Over | 49c | 202.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Over | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…54e1backed Over | 30c | 168.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…d987backed Over | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…13febacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…156ebacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Over | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 17c | 152.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Over | 30c | 102.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 30c | 82.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked Over | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…0ee8backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…c899backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 51.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…e544backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…f663backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 72c | 33.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…f580backed Over | 38c | 31.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Under | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 70c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 73c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…9947backed Under | 73c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…c0e3backed Under | 73c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed Under | 73c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…95eabacked Under | 72c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…bbb3backed Under | 71c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.