TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc5d…54e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3627.8%10 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,160%+$208.97
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$74.72
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.92
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+206.8%+$139.51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+271.5%+$79.65
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.67
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$102.86
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$456.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$216
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$164
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$224.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$256
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$152.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$208.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$101.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+45%+$89.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$196
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$266.74
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$69.28
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$143.11
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$167.99
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$459
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$163.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.